By the season's end, Mike Davis will be a case of "I knew it," but the guy who pushes him down or out is pure guesswork at this stage. You are better off investing in a more consistent player for your RB2 when you get to the late second or early third round of drafts. So what's the concern? Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Anthony Amico: The story with Gibson is somewhat similar to that of Jacobs but with a proof of concept already complete. Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB19. His retirement all but guarantees some drop-off in Kamara's receiving numbers regardless of whether Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill is named the Saints starting quarterback. Marcus Allen 15. Jones was the better, more efficient runner during the 2020 regular season, and Bernard seems destined to be Tampa's primary passing-down back. Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. Jonathan Morris: As soon as Josh McDaniels came into the picture as the new head coach of the Raiders, my valuation of Jacobs immediately went down. At times he looked like the future back Detroit has been looking for this century. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Andrew Davenport: Montgomery was the 26th-ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest through nine games last year. But Gordon averaged more yards per carry last year than Williams. He was a liability during pass plays because of his inability to catch passes. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB7. Gaskin may be the top option for now, but that could change with a strong outing from veteran Malcolm Brown or Salvon Ahmed. The next season he hit bottom with a knee injury that damaged his ACL, MCL, and meniscus. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB27 | Consensus Projections RB31. The more problematic issue is that the Texans are a train wreck. Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option. . Johnson is the incumbent with the largest contract, and yet he's being downshifted in favor of Mark Ingram II -- who did his best work in Baltimore, where Texans head coach David Culley comes from -- and Phillip Lindsay. His career marks are high because he played long (13 yrs) and was consistent. Andrew Davenport: I've had ample opportunities to draft Gaskin and just haven't been able to do it. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. Cohen is not even a projected injury-away auto-start fantasy option heading into training camp. 21 RB Sleepers. Nobody should ever try to run like Barry Sanders, because they will never be Barry Sanders. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. John Riggins 19. Top 10 Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time. 9 Tim Brown Via nfl.com I was one of many who publicly voiced outrage over the fact that Tim Brown had to wait until 2015 get his Hall of Fame honor. Dillon is maturing as a receiver and might be used in that facet of the game despite his size profile suggesting hes a bruiser. DYAR: 96 DVOA: 0.085% His average DYAR of 96 would rank him 24th in the NFL in 2009, right ahead of Laurence Maroney. Green Bay seems to like A.J. Theyre going to be one of the worst teams in NFL History. 31 Unsung Running Backs in NFL History By Paul Ladewski on August 3, 2021 Chris O'Meara / AP Photo Before franchise quarterbacks took pro football hostage, there was something known as franchise running backs. We've seen J.D. Mostert is now 29 years old and has the highest draft position of anyone in this stable of capable running backs. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. In 2019, the Lions tried to steal him away with a restricted free agent offer. only site on the planet. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. Kudos to James Robinson. Chase Edmonds, Arizona | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB23. Phil Alexander: Beware of drafting running backs based solely on their perceived opportunity. Overrated David Boston -- WR, 1999-02 Boston was a former first-round pick by the Cardinals who had an epic Pro Bowl /All-Pro season in 2001 when he caught 98 passes for nearly 1,600 yards and. There is also the slight concern that he will need some ramp-up time to fully be healed from his ACL tear from a season ago. Simpson 13. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB26. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. Jason Garrett was one of the most uninspiring play-callers in the league last year. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. "Footballguys is the best premiumfantasy football Heading into this season, their offensive line is mediocre, their quarterback situation is a mess, they have a new coach, and the rest of the skill position players are uninspiring. The only other way for one of them to achieve high-end RB1 value would be an injury that allows the other to see an increased workload. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback will gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. In 2020, James Conner ranked 36th and Benny Snell ranked 54th in expected yards-per-carry out of 55 qualifiers, a sign of a weak offensive line and scheme. And ultimately, he was targeted by Miami ahead of an early-round draft pick when he finally hit unrestricted free agency. While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB20. Downing, USA Today Sports. More of the stats of an average RB, which Laurence Maroney and Rashard Mendenhall are. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB39 | Consensus Projections RB47. 1 Tom Brady Thomas Edward Patrick Brady, Jr., is an American football quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers of the National Football League. Awesemo fantasy expert Nick Lepri gives you the three MOST OVERRATED RBs, breaks down his running .. McKissic is not your traditional committee back or injury-away dart throw for a big ceiling. Tatum Bell isn't the only Lions running back of the 2000s to get snakebitten. Unfortunately, Dobbins is on a team with an elite rushing quarterback in Lamar Jackson, who will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. Its a knock on his offensive line. Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. Marshall Faulk 7. If Gordon's injury is extended, Williams could be appropriately priced, but until there is more information, he is an avoid at cost. Yet, Travis Etienne was drafted in the first round, and Carlos Hyde, who Urban Meyer coached at Ohio State, was signed. His career YPC was 3.9. However, the floor is lower than the surrounding running backs in cost. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. Matt Waldman: After studying Swift's best weeks in 2020, the Lions' offseason acquisitions, and Coach Lynn's analysis of his backs, I'm less enthusiastic about Swift. It also must be remembered his journey through the NFL before that. However, his footwork and explosiveness in tight spaces allowed him to slip would-be tacklers with consistency. Single USA Today named the most overrated player on every NFL team in 2022 and for the Cleveland Browns, Jadeveon Clowney was given this unwanted distinction. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Sigmund Bloom: Anthony Lynn basically told us that he will run a committee of Swift and free agent pick Jamaal Williams when he called Williams his "A" back. Robinsons workload will dramatically decrease this season, and drafters arent taking that into account as much as they should. Andrew Davenport: Fournette's production in the playoffs was artificially inflated by the injury to Ronald Jones II, and part of Fournette's regular-season fantasy production last year was due to his pass-catching role. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league to put up those huge numbers over that finishing stretch. Jim Brown 2. Drafting Jacobs around this price is drafting him at his ceiling -- perhaps even above it. Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB7. Now, these guys are treated with all the respect of disposable diapers. . You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. If he is still on the opening day roster, Gordon's workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. In June 2008, Sports Illustrated polled nearly 500 players on the most overrated athlete in baseball, and Jeter was numero uno. Barry Sanders - 15, averaged one 50-plus-yard TD every 204 carries. Jacobs could easily wind up as a player who does a lot of work between the 20s with no meaningful fantasy production. His current draft price is almost his upside. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. It's not entirely his fault. Got the exact same number of carries as Williams. The Raiders have a lot of diverse depth with several different pass catchers, speed backs, and bruisers at the running back position for Jacobs to be drafted at his current ADP. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback is going to gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB11. Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another important key to a successful fantasy team. Jordan McNamara: Fixing your running game by drafting running backs is a losing strategy. He also spent his first 5 years on the saints, where he got 20 carries exactly 2 times there. Fred Taylor 1. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. Add in the fact that offense is unlikely to provide as many goal-line chances as the other high-end RB1s, and Kamara has plenty of factors going against him. His production waned down the stretch in Carolina last year, and when was the last time we cared about an Atlanta running back in fantasy football anyway? Davis was great in relief of Christian McCaffrey in Carolina last year, but he got tired quickly. My, my, how the game has changed. Brown should have a role, most likely on early downs and at the goal-line, which would sink Gaskins chances of living up to his ADP. I'll pass on Barkley at cost. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Color me skeptical Sanders has a new ceiling for receiving production with Scott and Gainwell passing game-centric options, and Howard could be a goal-line option. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders to be an every-down back. This is more important for Barkley than most backs because he relies on his immense gifts more than most backs. He's more powerful and understands how to work between the tackles. Brown never stopped earning playing time for the Rams despite the team investing early draft capital at the position. The Top Ten 1 David Beckham David Robert Joseph Beckham is (born 2 May 1975) is an English former professional footballer, the current president & co-owner of Inter Miami CF and co-owner of Salford City.. Yep. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Jamal Lewis rushed for nearly 3,400 yards in the first two seasons back from his ACL tear. That, plus the uncertainty of Edmond's role, leaves me more concerned than excited. 2022/07/02 . Flick's Package Liquor Inc. PO Box 221 3320 Sterns Rd. Jamal Lewis-- RB, 2000-06 There have been seven running backs who have rushed for 2,000 yards in a season, and Jamal Lewis is by far the least memorable of the bunch. While Jacobs is capable of a bell-cow role, McDaniels has a long history of maddening running back usage as the Patriots OC. The first thing that pops out at us is that Jerome Bettis 3.9 YPC is a good deal lower than the offensive lines mark of 4.29 (ADY). He's as gifted a receiver as he is a runner, which allows him to have huge games regardless of game script. There have been 49 running backs taken among the first 10 picks since 1960, and Byars has the lowest rushing average of the bunch. He yields passing work to J.D. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Jamal Lewis 18. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY =. I just see way too much downside to take a risk on lightning striking twice. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Then we have the Taysom Hill conundrum. Compared to Jim Brown (5.2 YPC), Larry Csonka (4.3 YPC), and Earl Campbell (4.3 YPC). The following represent the most overrated NFL player on each team. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered There is no upside with drafting Gaskin this high. This year, his new head coach -- Josh McDaniels -- is an offensive mind who made his career in schemes that utilized multiple backs as specialists for each situation. Jason Wood: Williams has the talent to be a top-10 fantasy back for years. When you select Dobbins in your drafts, you are banking on the hyper-efficiency of his limited touches to continue. Matt Waldman: Many of my peers at Footballguys are worshippers of draft capital as a predictor of talent. Ben Cummins: The Raiders offense should be fun this season with the additions of Davante Adams and new head coach, Josh McDaniels. Jim Brown Jim Brown spent a little less than a decade playing for the Cleveland Browns between 1957 and 1965, but that was enough time to prove he's likely the greatest running back to ever play the game and one of the greatest NFL players of all time. But career stats shouldnt have much emphasis on them for that reason. Chad Parsons: The price has vaulted up on Javonte Williams after a quality rookie season. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB20 | Consensus Projections RB20. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB18. Lynn's mauling offensive line and run-first mentality give Swift a chance to make good on his ADP, but he is being drafted at his ceiling. In 2019, his last full season, Cohen averaged 5.8 yards per catch and 4.4 yards per target -- terrible numbers for a third-down back. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. He's a workout warrior - I get that, but whether or not he recovers immediately from this injury is yet to be seen, and because there is a doubt, he's someone I am avoiding at nearly all costs. No thanks. The Raiders declined to exercise Jacobs fifth-year option this offseason, drafted Zamir White in the fourth round, signed Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden, and Kenyan Drake returns from injury. There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. Jan 26 . He was a reliable pass-protector, and had sure hands. Before McKissic was injured with a concussion in Week 12, which forced him to miss the remainder of the season, Gibson was only getting targeted 2.6 times per game. As a model for other running backs, one of the greatest running backs of all time is a horrible example. That makes me want to be high on Josh Jacobs, but unfortunately, all reports point to a backfield by committee. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB30. Most overrated players in Madden 21 J.J. Watt, defensive end, Houston Texans. He's never carried the ball more than 132 times in a season. Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. Gaskin has missed long periods through injury in his first two seasons in the league. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals. Drew Davenport: Gordon hasn't been a special player for a while now, and at times last year looked completely ineffective. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Even if Winston wins the competition and keeps the New Orleans passing game afloat, Kamara will have a hard time repeating last year's 21 total touchdowns. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. Ryan Hester: Gibson is a unique case in fantasy football. He was used more as a receiver than anything. Preseason may help a little. There are too many risk factors to comfortably draft Ekeler as a No. Taylor can be a rock-solid option and still be pecked away with Hines and Mack enough to be more in the RB10-15 range. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Mckissic, and there was talk of rookie Brian Robinson Jr taking on the short yardage work. I'm out. However, Melvin Gordon III returning is the lynchpin for tepid upside expectations outside of a Gordon injury. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. Then, two players were listed as being the most overrated compared to their draft projection. J.K. McKissic, Washington | Consensus Rankings RB47 | Consensus Projections RB45. Single Nyheim Hines is one of the premier pass-catching options, and Marlon Mack's health is a wildcard in the Colts' backfield rotation. He has had 9,088 receiving+rushing yards over his career. Chad Parsons: Cohen is coming off an injury, and Damien Williams is a notable veteran addition to the depth chart. McKissic this offseason and added Alabama running back Brian Robinson Jr Jr. in the 3rd round of the NFL draft. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB30 | Consensus Projections RB27. First, Johnson turns 30 in December, and considering all the injuries he's dealt with in his NFL career, it's hard to see him aging well. As a rookie, Montgomery was a disappointment, averaging just 10.7 fantasy points per game. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB16 | Consensus Projections RB17. Bettis was also a nonfactor in the passing game. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB14. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB22. The 39 Most Overrated Bands Of All-Time While they might have some catchy tunes, some bands are really overrated. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett. While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. The Ravens have had the #1 rushing offense in the league for the last two years straight but have finished 31st overall in total running back targets in that same time span. No one can take away his heroics stepping in for Christian McCaffrey, and he was rewarded in the offseason when Atlanta presumably signed him to be new coach Arthur Smith's feature back. He showed elite promise in his rookie year and followed it up with a top 10 season despite a high ankle sprain limiting his ascension. 1 Barry Sanders Barry Sanders is a former American football running back who spent his entire professional career with the Detroit Lions of the National Football League. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. But drafting him as a high-upside No. The team likes fourth-round pick Zamir White and passing down back Ameer Abdullah, and Kenyan Drake is still on the roster, so Jacobs is going to have trouble being consistent enough to merit an every-week RB2 start. In addition, teammate Gus Edwards just signed a two-year, $10M contract extension in June, so he isnt going anywhere any time soon. 5. Ty Johnson has strong athleticism and played over Carter in the first week of the preseason, and La'Mical Perine has a similar profile to Carter. He had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). I can't see Mostert getting enough work to justify his current ADP. Gibson has also been struggling with fumbles in training camp, which have drawn the ire of the Commanders coaching staff. Notre Dame's Kyren Williams was one of them and Georgia's James Cook was the other player named. Bursting onto the scene in our list is Micah Richards. 1 receiver for a significant chunk of the season. He didnt have a top 5 offensive line, so that eliminates the argument that he was made by the offensive line. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. If you look at Bettis total career marks, you will see that he is 5th on the all time rushing yards list and 10th in TDs. Again, these are not the stats of an elite RB. We don't yet know how much of Kamara's past success as a pass-catcher to attribute to Brees. In five games without Mark Ingram II in 2020, Dobbins only out-carried Gus Edwards 13 to 11.6. Drafters are still grabbing David Johnson due to projected volume, yet in their first preseason game, Houston utilized Phillip Lindsay on first and second downs with the starters while David Johnson was restricted to a third-down role. Yeah, us, too. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. They did not pick up his fifth-year option and took Zamir White in the fourth round of the NFL Draft. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. Phil Alexander: The epic stretch-run that led Montgomery to an RB4 finish in 2020 came with Tarik Cohen sidelined and against the defenses of Green Bay, Detroit, Houston, Minnesota, and Jacksonville, respectively. The Commanders drafted Brian Robinson Jr on Day 2 of the draft, a bigger back who excelled in pass protection. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Washingtons offense ranked 21st in overall DVOA last season and doesnt project to improve much in 2022 despite the addition of Carson Wentz. Jason Wood: Jacobs was the only projected Raiders offensive starter to play in the Hall of Fame game, which should be a blaring red flag for how much new head coach Josh McDaniels values Jacobs as a centerpiece. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. most overrated running backs of all time. 54 touchdowns. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB12. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. He's a strong talent with some flaws with a better all-around back ahead of him. A new offensive coordinator in Pittsburgh also adds uncertainty to the situation. And even if he played all three downs, the target competition is strong (Davante Adams, Darren Waller, Hunter Renfrow). Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB13. David Johnson 's fantasy fortunes have been a roller coaster ride over the past three seasons. Drafting running backs on the downside of their career, on bad offenses, in a platoon situation, is fraught with peril. I think this is pretty unfair to call him the most overrated. Phil Alexander: What makes people so confident the Dolphins backfield is not a committee? While he can certainly put up some strong fantasy weeks, the savvier move would be to wait for the younger backs later in the draft. Henry has never caught more than 19 passes in a season, and that limited production as a receiver is an issue.
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most overrated running backs of all time